With Memorial Day behind us and the busy summer selling season about to begin, some interesting trends are landing in our laps.
First, NAR this week announced that existing home sales rose in April with strong buyer activity, in, as expected, the lower price ranges. Nationally, existing home sales increased 2.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.68 million units in April from a downwardly revised pace of 4.55 million units in March, but were 3.5 percent below that 4.85 million-unit level in April 2008.
Most of the sales are taking place in lower price ranges but in a positive trend, we are seeing increased activity in the mid-price ranges. This is all a domino effect. A turnaround begins with the lower price range homes and once that sector of the market is stabilized, we begin to see changes in the mid and upper price ranges. The upper end, though we have seen increased activity, still is slow but we fully anticipate that this will change over time, too.
Many of you are asking me questions about the moratorium on foreclosures. In many markets we’ve had a foreclosure moratorium set forth by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as they wanted servicers to reduce interest rates, delay back payments and penalties, stretch the length of the loan or defer payments on part of the principal. The moratorium is likely going to be lifted soon and foreclosed properties are going to be released into the market starting (in many markets) in June and moving through the remainder of the year. In order for a recovery to be sustainable, we really need to clear through those distressed homes so we can begin to sustain a price recovery.
Here in California, this moratorium has really hindered sales. The demand for housing is outrageous—especially here in the Sacramento Tahoe region as buyers anxiously await the inventory to increase so they snatch up the listings. In some cases they are seeing 15, 20 offers on properties as they hit the market. The June release of the moratorium is expected to alleviate some of that demand.
A few local articles of interest this week that I wanted to be sure you saw:
http://www.sacbee.com/business/story/1889277.html
http://www.sacbee.com/business/story/1883546.html
http://www.dqnews.com/Charts/Monthly-Charts/Sac-Bee-Charts/ZIPSACB.aspx
http://sacramento.bizjournals.com/sacramento/stories/2009/05/25/daily28.html
http://sacramento.bizjournals.com/sacramento/stories/2009/05/25/daily30.html
Definitely worth the read and a great reminder of why we call this special place home.
Now, let’s take a look at this week in real estate:
- Auburn—Agents are working with many qualified buyers but the buyers under $250,000 are losing out to investors with cash and quick closes. The sales we had this week were in the $300,000-$425,000 price range, so this is a good week. We had 2 appraisals come in over sales price, one was $7,000 more and the other $15,000 more and one came in $5,000 under sales price.
- El Dorado Hills—I wish I had something amazing to report but our market remains pretty much the same. Inventory is up slightly (360) with only 17 REO properties and 105 Short Sale listings. Buyers are wary and appraisals are tough. We’ve had some successful price reductions during escrow based on low appraisals. Persistent negotiations throughout the transaction are paying off for buyers and sellers.
- Elk Grove Laguna—The current level of extremely low inventory may be changing soon as some of the REOs being held back should be changing soon. In the meantime, it is still a battle for Agents and their buyers. Too many buyers and not enough properties. That is and continues to be the story.
- Folsom—Crazy market, lots of buyers but hard to get then into a home under $300,000. Lots of competition for every listing. Out of 21 sales this week only five sales over $350,000 which is unusual for the Folsom Office. Listings could be better for this time of year.
- Placerville—The number of homes on the market is stable and some of the homes coming on the market are reflecting price reductions from the prior six to twelve months. Very few REOs and all have multiple offers on them. We’re doing a lot of BPOs for potential short sales so should see some of those coming on shortly. Good walk in and phone traffic.
- Rocklin-Lincoln—We have several new “regular” listings and a couple of the sales are on regular listings. Agents are working hours and writing many contracts that are not being accepted due to many cash buyers and multiple offers on the properties often listed below market. Many of the short sale listings coming on the market are listed at prices way below what the lender will require, but these brokerages are placing them in MLS so that they can get the calls and then they are letting the agent know that the lender will not probably go this low on the price.
- Roseville-Granite Bay—Listing inventory is decreasing, as is sales inventory. One multiple offer; 9 ratified offers; 11 homes held open with a range of traffic, but on the lower end compared to weeks’ previous. Previews property activity on two listings. June inventory? We’re waiting for you! The buyers are eager, but mortgage rates are starting to rise.
- Sacramento Fair Oaks—Listing inventory is has very low; therefore sales are too. Opens were hit and miss due to the holiday weekend. REO/Short Sale activity is very high the REO agents are selling what they have left in inventory back the activity is very high. The buyers are out there on a daily basis it is keeping my agent very busy showing property but losing out because of multiple offers and getting out bid.
- Sacramento Metro—The office is extremely busy with good inventory in core areas.
- Sacramento Sierra Oaks—The inventory is very low. It seems that in the price range of under $100,000 there are a ton of multiple offers.
- Tahoe-Truckee—Inventory Summary: The listing inventory for the Tahoe-Truckee market currently stands at 2,167 active listings in the market - 1,523 residential properties and 644 lots/land listed for sale. Of the active listings, there are 131 properties listed as short sales which increased slightly, (6.0%) and 59 properties listed as REO sales, (2.7%). Based on the current inventory and sales year to date the market has roughly 8-months of inventory available. Sold Summary: On a year to date basis there have been 273 properties sold in the market as compared to 372 for the same period in 2008 which is (26.6%) reduction in sales. The median sales price for the properties sold YTD in 2009 is $450,000 while the average sale price is $577,829. For the same period in 2008, the median sales price was $515,000 and the average sales price was $721,927 which is a (12.6%) and (20.0%) reduction in price respectively. For the week of May 18th to 24th, there were 17 properties sold in the market with four above $750,000. Pending sales in the market remained constant at 139. Activity Summary: Memorial Day weekend was very active for open house activity as many second homeowners and vacationers were visiting the Tahoe-Truckee area. Coldwell Banker held over 25 open houses over the weekend with better than average visitor activity. Sales Associates are seeing increased buyer activity and more and more are writing offers than in the previous six-months. Coldwell Banker had nine (9) properties go into escrow last week with three above $750,000. It is apparent that buyer interest and activity is picking up as there are continued great values in the market. Lake Tahoe and Truckee properties are priced well and present great opportunities for interested buyers. As the summer season approached, we are anticipating more and more buyer activity.
- Vacaville-Fairfield—Buyers are excited about the low interest rates, federal and state tax credits, and they are in the mood to buy! Investors who see an opportunity to cash flow are clamoring to acquire property and in many cases offering cash. Our issue with our ready will and able buyers is inventory. Of the “active” listings on the MLS in Fairfield and Vacaville, only 21% are listed as REO, of these listings, all are receiving multiple offers. Active Short Sales represent 38% of our inventory and appear to be the perfect solution for our buyers. But, these are not without issue; we find that lenders are reluctant to negotiate and the second lien holder (if different from the first) is willing to “kill” the deal rather than except what is being offered by the first. On the short sales, we find our biggest challenge appears to be lack of lack of communication and cooperation from the asset managers represents the lenders. The good news in Vacaville and Fairfield is with our pent up demand, prices in Solano County are moving up creating a great window for “regular” sellers to sell.
Historically speaking the week of Memorial Day quiets things down in the housing sector but this year it was a bit different. Thanks to the $8,000 first time home buyer credit, low interest rates and increased affordability, buyers in the first time home buyer market are out in droves and really are snatching up properties. Now that Memorial Day is behind us, we’ll probably see a week or two of quiet yet brisk activity until school is out and then…let the floodgates open. The summer selling season will be in full force.
Until next week,
Make it a great one,
Bob Bronswick
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Sacramento/Tahoe
